4

Whiskey And Beer

4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 70

Listowel · GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap · 1m

#14

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Went backwards from his debut effort in 2 subsequent outings in 2024 for Emmet Mullins. After over 2 years off, went with little promise when well held on stable debut in handicap at Cork (6f) 12 days ago. Has enough to prove up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 12.8 /10 (raw 12.8)

Highest class: BHA73
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 10/07/2024 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 6f Gd 13310/07C8C8 @ Galway 29/07/2024 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f Yie 13129/07C8C8 @ Curragh 10/08/2024 · Pos 16th of 19 · OR - · 6f Goo 13310/08C8BHA73 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 22nd of 22 · OR 73 · 6f Goo 135 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 73 par9/0973OR 73projClass-projected finish: 18th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09CorkBHA7322th22th0
2024-08-10Curragh?16th16th0
2024-07-29Galway?8th8th0
2024-07-10Fairyhouse?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0729/0710/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 186% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 17th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/07/20245th12/137%67%+0.30
29/07/20248th9/153%0%-0.53
10/08/202416th125/10%17%+0.17
09/09/202622nd100/10%0%0.00