2

Blue Vega

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Listowel · Tote, Never Beaten By SP Maiden · 1m

#17

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

Timeform

Commentary

Lucky Vega gelding. 100/1, twelfth of 14 in maiden at Gowran (7f, good to soft) on debut 20 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 7f Yie 1341/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Gowran Park?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 10-15 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/09/202612th100/10%15%+0.15