5

Cuban Lights

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Listowel · Tote, Never Beaten By SP Maiden · 1m

#11

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Timeform

Commentary

Havana Grey gelding cost only 1,500 gns yearling and was only fifteenth of 18 in maiden at Cork (1m, soft) on debut 12 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 15.0 /10 (raw 15.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 15th of 18 · OR - · 1m Goo 1349/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Cork?15th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 13-18 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength9%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/202615th66/10%18%+0.18