8

Mothel Abbey

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Listowel · Tote, Never Beaten By SP Maiden · 1m

#15

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Never-dangerous eighth of 14 in maiden Leopardstown (9f, good to firm) on debut 46 days ago. Should improve.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 1346/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Leopardstown?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 176% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength23%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20268th250/10%46%+0.46