11

Quick Return

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Listowel · Tote, Never Beaten By SP Maiden · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€10,000 foal, Invincible Spirit gelding. Ninth of 10 in maiden (50/1) at Leopardstown (13f, good to firm) on debut. Off 95 days. Is bred to be more suited by this lesser test.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f GF 13418/06C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-18Leopardstown?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/06/20269th50/10%11%+0.11