1
Amplitude
4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 79
Listowel · Liam & Joan Healy Memorial Handicap · 1m 1f
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Roscommon | BHA81 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | BHA81 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ballinrobe | BHA81 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Cork | BHA82 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Leopardstown | BHA82 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Curragh | BHA84 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength97%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2025 | 13th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.47 |
| 09/09/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 03/04/2026 | 18th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/04/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 24/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |