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7

Dragon Of Malta

9yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 73

Listowel · Liam & Joan Healy Memorial Handicap · 1m 1f

#10

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back-to-back winner here last September. Low-key start to 2026 but looks on the way back and is one to keep an eye on from a slipping mark, fourth of 14 at Roscommon (7.5f, good) last month. Worth chancing back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA66 @ Listowel 22/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 66 · 1m Hvy 136 · beat its mark22/09/2025 · OR 66 par22/0966OR 66BHA66 @ Listowel 23/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 66 · 7f15y Hvy 133 · beat its mark23/09/2025 · OR 66 parBHA82 @ Bellewstown 01/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 82 · 7f205y Sft 152 · below its mark01/10/2025 · OR 82 par1/1082OR 824 @ Doncaster 08/11/2025 · Pos 15th of 21 · OR 82 · 7f6y Hvy 139 · below its mark08/11/2025 · OR 82 parBHA82 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 82 · 7f Sft 132 · below its mark19/05/2026 · OR 82 par19/0582OR 82BHA80 @ Listowel 31/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 80 · 6f60y Goo 140 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 80 parBHA77 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m Yie 131 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 77 par10/0677OR 77BHA76 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 76 · 7f Yie 136 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 76 parBHA75 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 75 · 7f111y Goo 135 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 75 par18/0875OR 75projClass-projected finish: 7th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18RoscommonBHA754th4th0
2026-07-28GalwayBHA765th5th0
2026-06-10LimerickBHA774th4th0
2026-05-31ListowelBHA8013th13th0
2026-05-19CorkBHA828th8th0
2025-11-08Doncaster415th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/098/1110/0618/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/09/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
23/09/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
01/10/20253rd9/153%86%+0.33
08/11/202515th22/10%30%+0.30
19/05/20268th40/10%0%0.00
31/05/202613th33/10%0%0.00
10/06/20264th40/10%63%+0.63
28/07/20265th20/10%71%+0.71
18/08/20264th20/10%77%+0.77