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12

Great Mover

4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 71

Listowel · Liam & Joan Healy Memorial Handicap · 1m 1f

#14

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Easy Gowran winner 12 months ago. Hasn't hit the target since but best forgiven her Navan effort earlier in the month, making little impression having been forced to switch over 2f out. Worth treating as still in form so not discounted.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: BHA65
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA79 @ Gowran Park 08/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 79 · 7f180y Sft 139 · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 79 par8/0479OR 79BHA77 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 77 · 1m50y Yie 127 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 77 parBHA75 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 75 · 1m2f Gd 135 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 75 par15/0575OR 75BHA72 @ Leopardstown 04/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 72 · 7f20y Sft 124 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 72 parBHA72 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 72 · 1m1f Sft 132 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 72 par11/0672OR 72BHA76 @ Curragh 27/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 76 · 1m2f GF 136 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 76 parBHA76 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 76 · 7f Yie 136 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 76 par28/0776OR 76BHA75 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 75 · 1m2f Goo 135 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 75 parBHA74 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 74 · 1m20y Goo 134 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 74 par2/0974OR 74projClass-projected finish: 10th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02NavanBHA749th9th0
2026-08-16CurraghBHA755th5th0
2026-07-28GalwayBHA7610th10th0
2026-06-27CurraghBHA766th6th0
2026-06-11LeopardstownBHA722nd2nd0
2026-06-04LeopardstownBHA723rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/044/0628/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 15-18 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20265th9/153%73%+0.21
25/04/20266th16/116%67%+0.51
15/05/20266th11/271%50%-0.21
04/06/20263rd9/276%78%+0.01
11/06/20262nd5/287%92%+0.05
27/06/20266th7/163%55%-0.09
28/07/202610th11/271%36%-0.35
16/08/20265th13/266%64%-0.02
02/09/20269th6/168%43%-0.26