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18

Khormor Syd

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 63

Listowel · Liam & Joan Healy Memorial Handicap · 1m 1f

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Confirmed previous promise when winning 17-runner handicap at Leopardstown (9f, soft) back in June, all out to hold on having led over 1f out. 4 lb rise not insurmountable so place claims if getting a run. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 25/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m50y Sft 13525/04C8C7 @ Limerick 11/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 63 · 1m3f110y Gd 142 · below its mark11/06/2025 · OR 63 parBHA63 @ Ballinrobe 23/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 63 · 1m5f9y Yie 133 · below its mark23/06/2025 · OR 63 par23/0663OR 63C8 @ Listowel 22/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 59 · 1m3f15y Hvy 141 · below its mark22/09/2025 · OR 59 parC8 @ Dundalk 26/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 57 · 1m4f Std 139 · below its mark26/11/2025 · OR 57 par26/11C8OR 57C8 @ Cork 03/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR - · 2m190y Yie 166BHA55 @ Gowran Park 09/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 55 · 1m1f130y Sft 137 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 55 par9/0455OR 55BHA56 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 56 · 1m3f190y Yie 138 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 56 parBHA59 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR 59 · 1m1f Sft 141 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 59 par11/0659OR 59projClass-projected finish: 1st of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-11LeopardstownBHA591st1st0
2026-04-25LimerickBHA562nd2nd0
2026-04-09Gowran ParkBHA552nd2nd0
2026-01-03Cork?6th6th0
2025-11-26Dundalk?9th9th0
2025-09-22Listowel?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0422/099/0411/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1865% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%

Delivery trend -1.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20256th20/10%55%+0.55
11/06/202510th20/10%18%+0.18
23/06/202510th50/10%31%+0.31
22/09/20257th300/10%45%+0.45
26/11/20259th50/10%38%+0.38
03/01/20266th100/10%69%+0.69
09/04/20262nd7/163%92%+0.29
25/04/20262nd6/168%93%+0.25
11/06/20261st5/174%100%+0.26