15
Royal Bones
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 74
Listowel · Liam & Joan Healy Memorial Handicap · 1m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Galway | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 5-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -31.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 91% | +0.00 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 90% | +0.01 |