5
Titanium
7yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 75
Listowel · Liam & Joan Healy Memorial Handicap · 1m 1f
#16
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA102 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Curragh | BHA82 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Curragh | BHA82 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Curragh | BHA83 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Dundalk | BHA84 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Naas | BHA102 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 2-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength40%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 18/5 | 81% | 85% | +0.04 |
| 15/12/2025 | 16th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 20/02/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 79% | +0.63 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 69% | +0.01 |
| 03/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 15/05/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |