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9

U S Navy Spearhead

3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 78

Listowel · Liam & Joan Healy Memorial Handicap · 1m 1f

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

41%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

U S Navy Flag filly who sprang a surprise when winning 6-runner maiden at Tramore (1½m, good to soft) on debut just over 5 weeks ago, crucially handling the track better than the others. Makes the quick switch to a handicap but drop in trip not sure to suit.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tramore 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m4f Goo 12915/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Tramore?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20261st18/15%100%+0.95