10
Good Man Jack
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 64
Listowel · Kevin's Bar, Listowel/Exchange Inn, Ballybunion Handicap · 1m 4f
#17
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 9.8)
Highest class: BHA68
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Navan | BHA68 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | BHA69 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Curragh | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | ? | 17th | 17th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 17th | 80/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 12/06/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 31/07/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 59% | +0.54 |
| 27/08/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 42% | -0.16 |