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4

Montevetro

3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 68

Listowel · Kevin's Bar, Listowel/Exchange Inn, Ballybunion Handicap · 1m 4f

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★ Timeform

Commentary

800,000 gns yearling who showed promise amidst inexperience when runner-up in maiden at Chelmsford on debut in March but hasn't kicked on since, including on debut for new connections last time (bought for just 20,000 gns). Plenty to prove now upped in trip on handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Chelmsford City 07/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m2f Std 1337/0334 @ Wolverhampton 24/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 1m1f104y Std 12324/034C8 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 13422/08C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 11/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f215y Goo 15411/09C8projClass-projected finish: 14th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Ballinrobe?10th10th0
2026-08-22Curragh?9th9th0
2026-03-24Wolverhampton43rd3rd0
2026-03-07Chelmsford City32nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0324/0322/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength44%

Delivery trend +19.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20262nd13/891%80%-0.11
24/03/20263rd5/493%33%-0.60
22/08/20269th150/10%27%+0.27
11/09/202610th50/10%25%+0.25