12

Priorstown

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 64

Listowel · Kevin's Bar, Listowel/Exchange Inn, Ballybunion Handicap · 1m 4f

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left previous efforts behind in first-time cheekpieces and upped in trip when landing 16-runner 1½m handicap at Roscommon 3 weeks ago by 1¼ lengths from Glen Echo. Up 5 lb and cheekpieces now removed but still unexposed.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 8.4)

Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 30/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 7f180y Hvy 13130/03C8C8 @ Gowran Park 22/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m Sft 13422/04C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 08/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f133y Goo 1348/05C8BHA61 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 18 · OR 61 · 1m98y Yie 131 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 61 par31/0761OR 61BHA59 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 59 · 1m4f17y Goo 142 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 59 par31/0859OR 59projClass-projected finish: 8th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31RoscommonBHA591st1st0
2026-07-31GalwayBHA6116th16th0
2026-05-08Ballinrobe?7th7th0
2026-04-22Gowran Park?12th12th0
2026-03-30Navan?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0322/048/0531/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength56%

Delivery trend -9.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/03/20266th80/10%64%+0.64
22/04/202612th40/10%21%+0.21
08/05/20267th5/174%0%-0.74
31/07/202616th22/10%12%+0.12
31/08/20261st9/276%100%+0.24