17
Queen Of Astolat
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 54
Listowel · Kevin's Bar, Listowel/Exchange Inn, Ballybunion Handicap · 1m 4f
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Clonmel | BHA54 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Down Royal | BHA55 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Killarney | BHA56 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Sligo | BHA60 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Yarmouth | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Yarmouth | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 8-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength15%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 27/12/2025 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 05/08/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 04/09/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |