7
Tanzanite Diamond
3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 66
Listowel · Kevin's Bar, Listowel/Exchange Inn, Ballybunion Handicap · 1m 4f
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: BHA68
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Tramore | BHA68 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Leopardstown | BHA70 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | BHA72 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairyhouse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 186% of fieldRange 13-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 26/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 125/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 81% | +0.65 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 06/08/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 48% | +0.00 |
| 15/08/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |