5

Wie Wunderbar

3yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 68

Listowel · Kevin's Bar, Listowel/Exchange Inn, Ballybunion Handicap · 1m 4f

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

97%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed twice in Germany for Sarah Steinberg and made the perfect start for current connections when winning 11f handicap at Naas in August by 1¾ lengths from Sinbad My Dad. The second has franked the form since and, though up 5 lb, she's totally unexposed as a middle-distance handicapper.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: BHA63
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA63 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 63 · 1m3f Goo 125 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 63 par23/0863OR 63
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23NaasBHA631st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength97%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20261st7/163%100%+0.37