7
Alphecca
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 88
Listowel · John McGuire Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 1m 4f
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Curragh | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Naas | BHA89 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Naas | BHA82 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Killarney | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Naas | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1731% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 18/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 87% | +0.18 |
| 06/10/2025 | 1st | 85/40 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 12/10/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/04/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 04/05/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 27% | +0.22 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |