12
Day Trader
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 77
Listowel · John McGuire Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 1m 4f
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA71 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Galway | BHA68 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Newcastle | 2 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Punchestown | BHA115 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Leopardstown | BHA72 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Leopardstown | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1794% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 20/10/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 03/12/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 26/12/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 15/04/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 9% | -0.17 |
| 01/05/2026 | 16th | 50/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 27/06/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 32% | +0.32 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 94% | +0.57 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.25 |