17
Eben Zaabeel
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 74
Listowel · John McGuire Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 1m 4f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Downpatrick | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Limerick | BHA69 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Listowel | BHA72 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ballinrobe | BHA76 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Cork | BHA79 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Fairyhouse | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1769% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2024 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 03/09/2024 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 02/10/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 05/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 24/04/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 08/05/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 31/05/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |