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9

Rock Of Ireland

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 79

Listowel · John McGuire Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 1m 4f

#15

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark at the Curragh in March on first outing for current trainer best effort since when good fourth of 15 in a handicap at Cork in May. Didn't stay extended 2m trip at Galway last time and must be respected now back at a more suitable trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: BHA66
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA74 @ Tipperary 08/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 74 · 1m4f115y Goo 165 · below its mark08/08/2025 · OR 74 par8/0874OR 74C8 @ Clonmel 11/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 73 · 1m1f130y Yie 135 · below its mark11/09/2025 · OR 73 parBHA71 @ Dundalk 26/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 71 · 1m2f150y Std 135 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 71 par26/0971OR 71BHA69 @ Dundalk 14/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 69 · 1m4f Std 129 · below its mark14/10/2025 · OR 69 parBHA66 @ Curragh 28/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 66 · 1m4f Sft 126 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 66 par28/0366OR 66BHA74 @ Gowran Park 09/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 74 · 1m4f Sft 124 · below its mark09/04/2026 · OR 74 parBHA74 @ Dundalk 23/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 74 · 1m4f Std 124 · below its mark23/04/2026 · OR 74 par23/0474OR 74BHA74 @ Cork 03/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 74 · 1m4f30y Sft 119 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 74 parBHA81 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 17th of 19 · OR 81 · 2m110y Yie 141 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 81 par29/0781OR 81projClass-projected finish: 12th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29GalwayBHA8117th17th0
2026-05-03CorkBHA744th4th0
2026-04-23DundalkBHA746th6th0
2026-04-09Gowran ParkBHA742nd2nd0
2026-03-28CurraghBHA661st1st0
2025-10-14DundalkBHA698th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0814/1023/0429/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1713% of fieldRange 6-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength26%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20256th11/271%55%-0.17
11/09/20256th9/488%55%-0.34
26/09/20257th18/15%54%+0.49
14/10/20258th9/153%30%-0.23
28/03/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
09/04/20262nd7/491%88%-0.03
23/04/20266th5/174%44%-0.29
03/05/20264th10/147%79%+0.31
29/07/202617th12/137%11%-0.26