10
Sharkeyboy
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Listowel · John McGuire Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 1m 4f
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | York | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | BHA84 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Leopardstown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Curragh | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1756% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 22/08/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 44% | -0.17 |