13

Gentle Soda

3yo Filly · 9-3

Listowel · Eric Browne Memorial Maiden · 1m 4f

#11

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Churchill filly was much improved from her debut when seventh of 21 in maiden at Navan (1¼m, good) 19 days ago. Not given the hardest of times there and she could do better again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 7f111y Gd 12918/08C8C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 21 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 1292/09C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Navan?7th7th0
2026-08-18Roscommon?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +48.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/08/202612th150/10%21%+0.21
02/09/20267th250/10%70%+0.70