10

Nemorino

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Listowel · Eric Browne Memorial Maiden · 1m 4f

#10

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dark Angel gelding showed ability amidst inexperience when fifth of 15 in maiden at Roscommon (1½m, good to soft) on debut 21 days ago. This will require more but he's open to progress.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f17y Goo 13431/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Roscommon?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20265th66/10%71%+0.71