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11

Teoest

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 84

Listowel · Eric Browne Memorial Maiden · 1m 4f

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Teofilo gelding who offered more than previously when fourth of 14 in maiden at Roscommon (1½m, good, 28/1) 34 days ago. Probably needs a bit more again if he's to score.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 26/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f Std 13426/05C8C8 @ Curragh 19/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m4f GF 13419/07C8C8 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f48y Goo 13418/08C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Roscommon?4th4th0
2026-07-19Curragh?6th6th0
2026-05-26Dundalk?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0519/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/20264th22/10%67%+0.67
19/07/20266th40/10%0%0.00
18/08/20264th28/10%77%+0.77