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10

Cooley's Mist

4yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 66

Listowel · Gerard Lynch Memorial Handicap · 1m 6f 55y

#11

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#11

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Opened his account under a change of tactics when making all at Leopardstown in July. Backed that up at the second attempt when good second there last time. Cheekpieces off here and ought to be thereabouts if giving his running.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: BHA61
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 30/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f109y Gd 13430/05C8BHA67 @ Leopardstown 07/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 21 · OR 67 · 1m1f Goo 129 · beat its mark07/08/2025 · OR 67 parBHA65 @ Gowran Park 20/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 65 · 1m1f100y Hvy 131 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 65 par20/0965OR 65BHA63 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 63 · 1m4f17y Yie 123 · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 63 parBHA62 @ Leopardstown 04/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 62 · 1m1f Sft 122 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 62 par4/0662OR 62BHA61 @ Curragh 27/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 61 · 1m2f GF 122 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 61 parBHA61 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 61 · 1m5f Goo 121 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 61 par16/0761OR 61BHA66 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 18 · OR 66 · 1m6f14y Yie 136 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 66 parBHA66 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 66 · 1m5f Goo 126 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 66 par20/0866OR 66projClass-projected finish: 7th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20LeopardstownBHA662nd2nd0
2026-07-31GalwayBHA6616th16th0
2026-07-16LeopardstownBHA611st1st0
2026-06-27CurraghBHA613rd3rd0
2026-06-04LeopardstownBHA623rd3rd0
2026-05-18RoscommonBHA638th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0518/0516/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength72%

Delivery trend -4.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20257th16/116%50%+0.34
07/08/20254th15/261%85%+0.24
20/09/20257th7/163%60%-0.03
18/05/20268th14/126%30%+0.04
04/06/20263rd33/10%86%+0.86
27/06/20263rd5/174%82%+0.08
16/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
31/07/202616th11/271%12%-0.59
20/08/20262nd7/163%90%+0.27