7
Deralo Ir
4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 67
Listowel · Gerard Lynch Memorial Handicap · 1m 6f 55y
#14
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | BHA70 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Galway | BHA74 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | BHA75 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-12 | Tarbes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-18 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-03-20 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 5-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |
| 18/04/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 12/05/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 20/07/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 01/08/2026 | 16th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |