13
L'Un Deux Trois
10yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 65
Listowel · Gerard Lynch Memorial Handicap · 1m 6f 55y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Gowran Park | BHA62 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Downpatrick | BHA86 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Punchestown | BHA65 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Wexford | BHA89 | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-25 | Kilbeggan | BHA90 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-12-26 | Down Royal | BHA94 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2024 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 04/10/2024 | 13th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 24/10/2024 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 15/11/2024 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 26/12/2024 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 25/07/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 02/05/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 08/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |