IvyArcIvyArc
8

Lauderdale King

4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 67

Listowel · Gerard Lynch Memorial Handicap · 1m 6f 55y

#6

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly raced for his age and left previous efforts behind when winning 18-runner handicap at Cork last time by 2¼ lengths from Justenzia. Up 6 lb for that success but less exposed than most and is fancied to give another good account of himself.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: BHA60
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 16/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR - · 1m Goo 13416/05C8C8 @ Gowran Park 02/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f100y Goo 1342/06C8C8 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m50y Yie 13525/04C8BHA60 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 60 · 1m2f90y Sft 142 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 60 par19/0560OR 60BHA61 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 61 · 1m1f100y Yie 131 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 61 par12/0661OR 61BHA61 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 61 · 1m5f Goo 121 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 61 par20/0861OR 61BHA61 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 61 · 1m4f Yie 131 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 61 par30/0861OR 61projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30CorkBHA611st1st0
2026-08-20LeopardstownBHA615th5th0
2026-06-12Gowran ParkBHA614th4th0
2026-05-19CorkBHA603rd3rd0
2026-04-25Limerick?11th11th0
2025-06-02Gowran Park?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0519/0530/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength79%

Delivery trend -7.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20258th125/10%56%+0.56
02/06/202510th100/10%10%+0.10
25/04/202611th50/10%29%+0.29
19/05/20263rd10/147%83%+0.36
12/06/20264th4/179%79%-0.00
20/08/20265th11/271%60%-0.11
30/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11