1
Louiescall
5yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 70
Listowel · Gerard Lynch Memorial Handicap · 1m 6f 55y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Cork | BHA70 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Tramore | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | BHA73 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Killarney | BHA74 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Limerick | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Listowel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 14/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 90% | +0.03 |
| 25/09/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 94% | +0.06 |
| 18/10/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 53% | -0.05 |
| 13/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 29/07/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.36 |