14
Medadthebookie
6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 65
Listowel · Gerard Lynch Memorial Handicap · 1m 6f 55y
#17
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 9.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Killarney | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-08-28 | Bellewstown | BHA88 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-07-15 | Downpatrick | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2024-05-21 | Punchestown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 186% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength31%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2024 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 21/05/2024 | 9th | 200/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 15/07/2024 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 28/08/2024 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 125/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 05/09/2026 | 15th | 300/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |