2
Way Down South
7yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 70
Listowel · Gerard Lynch Memorial Handicap · 1m 6f 55y
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: BHA71
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Down Royal | BHA71 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Tramore | BHA74 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | BHA99 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Tramore | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Curragh | BHA99 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 26/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 20/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |