13

Atomic War

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Mountaineer · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Mountaineer 14/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f110y 12014/07C9C9 @ Mountaineer 27/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m Fm 12027/07C9C6 @ Mountaineer 23/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m 12023/08C6projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Mountaineer?5th5th0
2026-07-27Mountaineer?5th8th3
2026-07-14Mountaineer?9th12th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0727/0723/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/07/20269th14/126%11%-0.15
27/07/20265th50/10%43%+0.43
23/08/20265th9/153%20%-0.33