13

Atomic War
3yo Gelding · 8-8
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-07-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |