10
Load The Wagon
3yo Gelding · 8-8
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -11.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |