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4

Team Mischievous

3yo Colt · 8-8

Mountaineer · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Mountaineer 22/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f 12022/06C6C9 @ Mountaineer 21/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 7f110y Fm 12021/07C9C9 @ Mountaineer 25/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 56 · 6f 120 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 56 par25/08C9OR 56C6 @ Mountaineer 07/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 80 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 80 par7/09C6OR 80projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Mountaineer?5th5th0
2026-08-25Mountaineer?4th7th−3
2026-07-21Mountaineer?4th7th−3
2026-06-22Mountaineer?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0621/0725/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +27.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/06/20267th11/271%0%-0.71
21/07/20264th20/10%40%+0.40
25/08/20264th9/153%57%+0.05
07/09/20265th20/10%33%+0.33