Centsofwander
8yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 79
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 08/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 24/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 04/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 18/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 22/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |