2
Coach Campbell
5yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 72
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-07-13 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 16/04/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 18/05/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/07/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 08/08/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |