Mitico
7yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 93
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
76%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-05-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/04/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 25% | -0.68 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |