11
My Two Aunt Joans
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 80
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |
| 07/01/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 56% | -0.34 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |