Priority Lane
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 81
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/03/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 20/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 04/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |