5
Tempus
9yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 83
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 14/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 23/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |
| 28/11/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |