11
Anhinga
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 80
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Allowance · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-07-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-11-18 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +8.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |
| 15/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 04/11/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 18/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |