8

Slanderous

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 71

Mountaineer · Race 3 - Allowance · 5f

#7

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength18%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Charles Town 07/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 61 · 6f110y Fas 124 · below its mark07/02/2026 · OR 61 par7/02C8OR 61C8 @ Charles Town 20/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 63 · 1m110y Slo 124 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 63 parC8 @ Charles Town 26/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 62 · 7f Fas 124 · beat its mark26/03/2026 · OR 62 par26/03C8OR 62C8 @ Charles Town 01/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 70 · 6f110y 122 · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 70 parC8 @ Charles Town 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 68 · 6f110y 126 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 68 par30/05C8OR 68C5 @ Charles Town 20/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 75 · 6f110y Fas 122 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 75 parC8 @ Charles Town 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 72 · 7f Fas 126 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 72 par27/06C8OR 72C7 @ Mountaineer 05/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 67 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark05/08/2026 · OR 67 parC8 @ Mountaineer 19/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 69 · 1m 124 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 69 par19/08C8OR 69projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Mountaineer?2nd5th3
2026-08-05Mountaineer?4th6th2
2026-06-27Charles Town?1st4th3
2026-06-20Charles Town?5th5th0
2026-05-30Charles Town?1st4th3
2026-05-01Charles Town?1st4th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/021/0527/0619/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength84%

Delivery trend +2.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/02/20263rd4/179%67%-0.12
20/02/20264th11/1094%40%-0.54
26/03/20262nd13/891%80%-0.11
01/05/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
30/05/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
20/06/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
27/06/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
05/08/20264th3/184%40%-0.44
19/08/20262nd9/153%75%+0.22