2
Unstable Mabel
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 58
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Allowance · 5f
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -2.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-08-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-07-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-06-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-06-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-05-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 10th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 14/09/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |