3
Vicki Rose
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 86
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Allowance · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-03-29 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-02-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-01-07 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-11-18 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength87%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 11/06/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 04/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 18/11/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 29% | -0.57 |
| 07/01/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |