4
Leonard's Legacy
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 76
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 05/08/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 17/09/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 13/10/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 18/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 23/06/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |