3

Pearl Of Aclaim

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 85

Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

21%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength35%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 23/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 88 · 1m110y 123 · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 88 par23/10C8OR 88C7 @ Mahoning Valley 11/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 85 · 5f110y Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/11/2025 · OR 85 parC7 @ Mountaineer 08/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 80 · 5f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/12/2025 · OR 80 par8/12C7OR 80C5 @ Mahoning Valley 05/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 81 · 1m70y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/01/2026 · OR 81 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 10/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 76 par10/06C8OR 76C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 78 · 6f110y 123 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 84 · 6f 123 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 84 par22/07C8OR 84C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 10/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 89 · 1m70y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/08/2026 · OR 89 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 07/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 79 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 79 par7/09C7OR 79projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Presque Isle Downs?6th5th+1
2026-08-10Presque Isle Downs?7th6th+1
2026-07-22Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-06-22Presque Isle Downs?1st1st0
2026-06-10Presque Isle Downs?6th6th0
2026-01-05Mahoning Valley?9th6th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/105/0122/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength31%

Delivery trend -0.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/10/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
11/11/20255th9/153%20%-0.33
08/12/20255th9/276%0%-0.76
05/01/20269th16/116%11%-0.05
10/06/20266th9/153%38%-0.15
22/06/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
22/07/20263rd10/147%50%+0.03
10/08/20267th8/158%0%-0.58
07/09/20266th20/10%0%0.00