1
Cats Gone Estray
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 33
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength46%
Delivery trend +9.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 11th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 20/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 1/4 | 99% | 40% | -0.59 |