Ennereilly
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 52
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-02-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-12-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-10-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2024-09-01 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2023 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 19/08/2023 | 8th | 10/11 | 95% | 22% | -0.73 |
| 11/11/2023 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 01/09/2024 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 36% | -0.32 |
| 01/10/2024 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 43% | -0.50 |
| 22/12/2024 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 07/02/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 14% | -0.67 |
| 05/04/2025 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |